Waste is just not progress, and neither are the limitless growth of debt and speculative bubbles.
The monetary punditry is whipping itself right into a frenzy a couple of Federal Reserve “coverage error,” which is code for “if the music lastly stops, we’re doomed!” In different phrases, any coverage which reduces the circulation of juice sluicing by means of the sewage pipes of the monetary system (credit score, leverage and liquidity–the important mechanisms of financialization and globalization) endangers your entire rickety, rotten construction of phantom wealth that’s enriched the few on the expense of the various.
All the notion that central financial institution coverage makes or breaks the economic system is the unique Coverage Error #1. That’s to say, no matter coverage a central financial institution pursues is a coverage error as a result of each coverage is an try to control the self-organizing cycle of credit score / financial growth and contraction.
The historical past of central banking is definitely fairly easy:
1. Central banks act to guard the wealth and energy of those that personal / management many of the wealth. That is their core unspoken cause to exist.
2. To justify this absurdly clear safety of the elite within the eyes of the general public, central banks undergo the motions of making an attempt to extinguish the enterprise / credit score cycle, that’s, making an attempt to remove defaults and credit score crunches that are the frequent however low-intensity fires that dissipate the monetary deadwood.
This destruction of extreme credit score, leverage and liquidity is critical to guard the forest–your entire economic system– from a a lot bigger, out-of-control conflagration.
Central banks promote this infinite growth of financialization to the general public as “we’re eliminating these horrible nasty recessions that harm all you little folks,” however in letting the deadwood pile up ever greater, central banks are solely guaranteeing the eventual conflagration will eat your entire forest.
That is mainly what occurred in 2008-09: the deadwood caught hearth regardless of the perfect efforts of central banks and virtually burned down your entire forest.
Something that constricts the growth of financialization (credit score, leverage and liquidity) constricts the growth of the phantom wealth of elites, and so central banks are detest to restrict credit score growth. Central banks and economists want a canopy story for this dynamic, and they also purposefully name debt growth “progress”: hey, look, the economic system is increasing, everyone’s getting richer, our insurance policies are working!
Good, however this isn’t actuality. The fact is the highest few get a lot, a lot richer than the little folks. That’s the one doable output of financialization, which generates hyper-rewards for these few with probably the most expansive entry to credit score, leverage and liquidity: firms, financiers and the super-wealthy.
Each coverage that protects the deadwood is a coverage error, which implies each coverage of central banks is a coverage error. The one and solely helpful function of central banks is to be a short-term lender of final resort in monetary crunches during which the deadwood catches hearth and extreme credit score, leverage and liquidity is consumed.
The deadwood burning enormously reduces the chance of the forest being destroyed, however some enterprises that aren’t overleveraged discover that they’re now not capable of roll over their short-term debt because of lenders chopping off strains of credit score. A credit score crunch can burn down in any other case prudent enterprises, and so central banks can shield well-managed companies that want short-term credit score by being the lender of final resort.
Credit score panics don’t final lengthy. Loans of 90 days are sometimes sufficient to tide over these corporations who want credit score strains to operate.
However as a substitute of this restricted function, central banks are at all times making an attempt to increase credit score, leverage and liquidity below the guise of “selling progress”. All that they’re actually doing is increasing monetary deadwood by enabling the growth of extreme waste and fraud. Because of central banks, the frivolous conspicuous consumption of the central-bank funded elite is glorified as “progress,” together with the whole waste of deliberate obsolescence and speculative bubbles that generate the phantasm of capital growth.
Waste is just not progress, and neither are the limitless growth of debt and speculative bubbles. Each coverage of central banks is a coverage error with the only real exception of short-term lending in commonplace business-credit cycles during which credit score crunches cleanse the system of the deadwood of extreme credit score, leverage and liquidity as a method of defending your entire forest from destruction.
When $100 trillion in world deadwood-debt burns to the bottom, that merely returns world debt to the degrees of 2012. Central financial institution insurance policies assure the forest can be consumed by an uncontrolled conflagration. That’s the price of claiming waste and debt are “progress” and defending the phantom wealth of the few on the expense of the various.
Need Hope and Actual Development? Let the Lifeless Forest of Corruption and Fed Manipulation Burn Down (October 30, 2020)
The Yellowstone Analogy and The Disaster of Neoliberal Capitalism (Could 18, 2009)
No Recession Ever Once more? The Yellowstone Analogy (November 8, 2019)
Latest podcasts/movies:
Tectonic Shift of Mercantilism Revalued (Gordon Lengthy, Macro-Analytics, 42 min)
My new e book is now accessible at a ten% low cost this month: When You Can’t Go On: Burnout, Reckoning and Renewal.
In case you discovered worth on this content material, please be part of me in looking for options by turning into a $1/month patron of my work through patreon.com.
My latest books:
International Disaster, Nationwide Renewal: A (Revolutionary) Grand Technique for the USA (Kindle $9.95, print $24, audiobook) Learn Chapter One without spending a dime (PDF).
A Hacker’s Teleology: Sharing the Wealth of Our Shrinking Planet (Kindle $8.95, print $20, audiobook $17.46) Learn the primary part without spending a dime (PDF).
Will You Be Richer or Poorer?: Revenue, Energy, and AI in a Traumatized World
(Kindle $5, print $10, audiobook) Learn the primary part without spending a dime (PDF).
Pathfinding our Future: Stopping the Remaining Fall of Our Democratic Republic ($5 Kindle, $10 print, ( audiobook): Learn the primary part without spending a dime (PDF).
The Adventures of the Consulting Thinker: The Disappearance of Drake $1.29 Kindle, $8.95 print); learn the primary chapters without spending a dime (PDF)
Cash and Work Unchained $6.95 Kindle, $15 print) Learn the primary part without spending a dime
Develop into a $1/month patron of my work through patreon.com.
